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23131: Wolf: ivan could cause flooding in haiti (fwd)



From: casey wolf <caseyjwolf@yahoo.ca>

11 P.M. EDT 9/9/2004 HURRICANE IVAN UPDATE #43

This is an independent product

Hurricane Ivan continues to bring high winds, heavy
rainfall, and coastal flooding to the southern
portions of the Dominican Republic and Haiti. There is
the potential for life threatening flash flooding and
mudslides for the area.

Hurricane Ivan is also heading toward Jamaica and is
expected to be significantly more intense than was
Hurricane Gilbert, a terrible hurricane that
devastated Jamaica in 1988. Residents of Jamaica need
to make preparations for a landfalling category four
or five hurricane.

NWHHC continues to recommend a Hurricane WARNING for
Jamaica and the Cayman Islands, as well as a Tropical
Storm Warning for the south coasts of the Dominican
Republic and Haiti west of 70W. NWHHC now recommends a
Hurricane Watch for the south coast of Cuba between 75
and 78W. Please remember that these are only
recommendations and that the official watches and
warnings can be found on the Official Alerts Page or
from local emergency management officials.

A total evacuation has been ordered for the Florida
Keys by Monroe County emergency management. Please
consult with local emergency management officials for
the details regarding the phases of this evacuation.

Residents of the Gulf of Mexico need to monitor the
progress of this very dangerous Hurricane very closely
during the next few days.

Currently, the eye of Hurricane Ivan is located near
15.5N and 73.3W. This places the eye 290 miles SE of
Kingston, Jamaica. The motion is to the WNW near 12
m.p.h. On this track, the core of Ivan will move over
Jamaica near Kingston sometime late tomorrow. An
eventual turn to the NNW is expected, bringing the
storm across Cuba and threatening the Florida Keys.

Maximum winds are estimated to be near 145 m.p.h. The
pressure is estimated to be 923mb. Some
re-intensification is possible during the next 12-24
hours before the hurricane nears Jamaica and Ivan
could again become a category five hurricane prior to
moving over Jamaica.

Next Update: 5 A.M.

Forecaster: Ortt

http://www.nwhhc.com/atl092004.html

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